⚽ Dixon-Coles model · 9 leagues

Smarter football
predictions, backed by data

Win/draw/loss probabilities, expected goals and value signals for every fixture — from a statistical model, openly backtested against real results.

No card required · Free tier includes top leagues

Everything you need to read a match

One model, four practical outputs — for every upcoming fixture.

📊

Win / Draw / Loss

Calibrated 1X2 probabilities from a full scoreline distribution — not gut feel.

🎯

Expected goals

Model xG for each side, from attack & defence strengths weighted toward recent form.

🔢

Likely scorelines

The most probable exact scores, ranked, straight from the Dixon-Coles grid.

💡

Value signals

Where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's — with the margin stripped out.

⏱️

Recency-aware

Time-decay weighting means last month matters more than last year.

🧪

Openly backtested

We publish how the model performs on past seasons — including where it trails the bookmaker.

Simple pricing

Start free. Upgrade when you want every league and the value signals.

Free

₦0/forever
  • Top leagues (Premier League, La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga)
  • Win / Draw / Loss probabilities
  • Expected goals & likely scorelines
  • Value-vs-bookmaker signals
  • All 9 leagues
Create free account
RECOMMENDED

Pro

₦2,500/month
  • Everything in Free
  • Value-vs-bookmaker signals
  • All 9 leagues
  • Full backtest breakdowns
  • Priority updates
Start free, upgrade anytime

Pricing shown is indicative for launch. Payments integrate with your existing Paystack setup.

Ready to predict smarter?

Create a free account and see this week's fixtures in under a minute.

Get started free