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Win/draw/loss probabilities, expected goals and value signals for every fixture — from a statistical model, openly backtested against real results. Calibrated, 30+ markets deep, and sealed in a public ledger before kickoff: proof, not promises.
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When we say 60%, it lands about 60% of the time. Measured error: 2.1% across 2,571 graded picks. See the calibration →
30+ markets per match, all read off a single model — so they can never contradict each other. See every market, back-tested →
Every prediction is hashed into a public chain before the whistle — so we can't quietly rewrite history. Check the ledger →
Viking
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Sabah FK
One free pick a day, straight from the model. Educational & analytical tool — not a bookmaker and does not facilitate gambling. Statistical estimates; past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.
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Model estimates, graded in the open. Not betting advice. 18+.
Raw match-result accuracy is only part of the story. Here's how the calls we actually publish have landed — graded against real results, not a backtest.
Each market is counted only where it applies, so samples differ. Historical hit-rates on graded predictions — not guarantees. Full breakdown →
Live record — our real, already-published predictions graded against actual results (not a backtest), as of 3 Nov 2026. See the full record →
Two models, honest probabilities, and the tools to hold us to them — for every fixture.
A Dixon-Coles goals model and an Elo rating model, blended — two views that catch each other's mistakes for a sharper call.
Calibrated 1X2 probabilities from a full scoreline distribution — not gut feel.
Model xG for each side, from attack & defence strengths weighted toward recent form.
The most probable exact scores, ranked, straight from the scoreline grid.
Where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's — with the margin stripped out.
Probabilities are tuned against our own out-of-sample record, so a "70%" really means about 70%.
Every prediction is sealed into a tamper-evident, hash-chained ledger before kickoff — no quiet edits after the fact.
Make your own calls, go head-to-head with the model, and climb the public leaderboard.
Opt in for a push only on days with a high-confidence pick — in the leagues you follow. Quiet days stay quiet.
A statistical model — not tipster gut feel — and we show our work.
A Dixon-Coles goals model and an Elo rating model each estimate team strength from years of results, weighted toward recent form.
We combine both models, then blend with bookmaker odds and flag where our probability beats the price.
Probabilities are re-tuned against our own out-of-sample record, so the confidence we show is the confidence you should read.
Each prediction is sealed into a verifiable ledger before kickoff, then scored against the real result — win or lose, in the open.
That we have a secret system, or that you'll definitely profit. Betting markets are efficient, and where we have no edge, we say so — the value signal only appears in the leagues our own back-test has earned it. Everything else is a calibrated probability, graded in the open. Proof, not promises.
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51% 1X2 hit rate across 2,571 graded picks · calibrated to ±2.1% · live record, as of 3 Nov 2026. See the record →
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Secure checkout via Paystack. Predictions are statistical estimates, not certainties — no outcome is guaranteed. 18+.
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