NetherlandsEredivisie · Full time

Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar
match prediction & analysis

AjaxxG 1.84
1–0
full time
AZ AlkmaarxG 1.22
Head-to-head history →
56% 22% 22%
Ajax winDrawAZ Alkmaar win
Our take Home win Lean Over 2.5 goals · 59% BTTS: Yes · 59%
AI insight The model leans to Ajax at 56%, though it's not clear-cut. With expected goals around 1.8–1.2, a high-scoring game looks likely.

Likely scorelines

1–112%
2–110%
2–08%

Goals

Expected total3.1
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams to score59%

Bookmaker odds

Ajax1.64
Draw4.39
AZ Alkmaar4.21

Full market breakdown · model probabilities

Goals & chances

Over 2.5 goals61%
Under 2.5 goals39%
Both teams to score60%
BTTS: No40%
Double chance 1X78%
Double chance X244%
🔒 Full breakdown — Over/Under ladder, team goals, winning margins, Asian handicap, correct-score & combo markets with Pro 🔒 Value-vs-bookmaker signal — unlock with Pro
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Predictions are statistical estimates, not certainties. For information and entertainment only. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.