PortugalPrimeira Liga · Full time

Arouca vs Nacional
match prediction & analysis

AroucaxG 1.68
1–0
full time
NacionalxG 1.00
Head-to-head history →
55% 24% 21%
Arouca winDrawNacional win
Our take Home win Lean
AI insight The model leans to Arouca at 55%, though it's not clear-cut. With expected goals around 1.7–1.0, a moderate goal count is expected.

Likely scorelines

1–112%
1–012%
2–110%

Goals

Expected total2.7

Bookmaker odds

Arouca1.79
Draw3.65
Nacional4.08

Full market breakdown · model probabilities

Goals & chances

Over 2.5 goals50%
Under 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score51%
BTTS: No49%
Double chance 1X79%
Double chance X245%
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Predictions are statistical estimates, not certainties. For information and entertainment only. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.