EnglandChampionship · Full time

Derby vs Stoke
match prediction & analysis

DerbyxG 1.43
0–1
full time
StokexG 1.19
Head-to-head history →
36% 29% 35%
Derby winDrawStoke win
Our take Double chance: Home or Away (12) Too close
AI insight A tight one — Derby are only narrow favourites at 36%. With expected goals around 1.4–1.2, a moderate goal count is expected.

Likely scorelines

1–113%
1–010%
2–19%

Goals

Expected total2.6

Bookmaker odds

Derby2.85
Draw3.37
Stoke2.38

Full market breakdown · model probabilities

Goals & chances

Over 2.5 goals48%
Under 2.5 goals52%
Both teams to score54%
BTTS: No46%
Double chance 1X65%
Double chance X264%
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Predictions are statistical estimates, not certainties. For information and entertainment only. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.